IISEPS — Independent Institute of Socio-Economic and Politycal Studies

RESULTS OF THE NATION OPINION POLL CONDUCTED IN DECEMBER OF 2005
(1514 persons interviewed, margin of error does not exceed 0.03)

11. Have you heard about the Congress of Democratic Forces which was held in Minsk on October 1-2 and which elected A. Milinkevich, former Vice-Mayor of Grodno and activist of the civic movement, as a sole candidate for the presidential election of 2006 alternative to A. Lukashenko?

Variant of answer	%
No, I haven’t	66.6
Yes, I have	32.7
NA	0.7

12. Have you got any leaflets about A. Milinkevich, met or talked with his representatives?

Variant of answer	%
No	85.6
Yes	13.9
DA/NA	0.5

13. If you haven’t, would you like to get such leaflets, meet and talk with A. Milinkevich’s representatives?

Variant of answer	%
No	61.2
Yes	30.9
DA/NA	7.9

14. Will you support A. Milinkevich at the presidential election of 2006?

Variant of answer	%
No	46.8
Yes	10.2
I will see from circumstances	36.9
DA/NA	6.1

15. If the authorities find a reason not to register a sole democratic candidate A. Milinkevich, will you join the street actions of protest?

Variant of answer	%
No	79.6
Yes	8.2
DA/NA	12.2

16. Are you going to come to vote at the presidential election of 2006?

Variant of answer	%
Definitely yes	49.2
Rather yes	36.8
Rather not	5.7
Haven’t decided yet	5.6
DA/NA	2.7

17. Do you think the presidential election of 2006 will be free and fair?

Variant of answer	%
Yes	49.2
No	33.8
DA/NA	17.0

18. Are you ready to join the street actions of protest if the presidential election is rigged?

Variant of answer	%
No	71.5
Yes	13.4
DA/NA	15.1

19. If the presidential election takes place tomorrow in Belarus, for whom will you vote?

Variant of answer	%
А. Lukashenko	52.6
А. Milinkevich	6.6
А. Lebedko	2.4
S. Gaidukevich	1.2
Z. Poznyak	1.1
V. Frolov	1.0
А. Kozulin	0.8
S. Shushkevich	0.6
V. Goncharik	0.4
А. Klimov	0.4
V. Leonov	0.4
А. Yaroshuk	0.3
А. Voitovich	0.2
S. Kalyakin	0.2
Other politician (7 names, under 0.2% each)	0.7
Other variant of answer	5.0
DA/NA	26.1

20. What candidate would you vote for at the next presidential election?

Variant of answer	%
Supporter of the current course	55.5
Supporter of changing the current course	41.7
NA	2.8
Supporter of integration with Russia	64.6
Supporter of accession to the EU	29.6
NA	5.8
Supporter of democratization	54.6
Supporter of "iron hand"	40.9
NA	4.5
Representative of the authorities	62.6
Representative of the democratic opposition	31.6
NA	5.8